Vegalta Sendai 1-2 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 35% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.17/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.21
-22% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
406 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
1-2
AWAY Ehime FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ehime FC edged past Vegalta Sendai 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vegalta Sendai at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 50% of the ball to Ehime FC's 50%, shots finished 16-16.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Ehime FC?

Vegalta Sendai 1-2 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 46%, draw 26%, Ehime FC 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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