Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.4
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +4%
1.35/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.14
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
290 Passes 293
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 3-1 HT 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
11.03.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-3 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
18.07.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
20.02.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1-2
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto nicked a narrow win over Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Roasso Kumamoto made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 47% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 53%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 2.00 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 33%, draw 28%, Roasso Kumamoto 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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