Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.0pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.52/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.21
+2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Celaya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
15.09.2024 Celaya Celaya 2-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
04.04.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 HT 1-2 Celaya Celaya MEK2
20.09.2023 Celaya Celaya 2-3 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
06.04.2023 Celaya Celaya 2-1 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
25.06.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
31.03.2022 Celaya Celaya 2-1 HT 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas beat Celaya 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mineros de Zacatecas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.67 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Celaya?

Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 42%, draw 26%, Celaya 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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