Bayelsa United 2-1 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.53
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.6pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.56/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.83
+7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayelsa United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bendel Insurance
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.10.2024 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 3-0 HT 1-0 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
15.01.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-0 HT 1-0 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United edged past Bendel Insurance 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayelsa United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bayelsa United and 1.50 for Bendel Insurance.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Bayelsa United 2-1 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 46%, draw 28%, Bendel Insurance 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayelsa United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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