Ikorodu City 2-0 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 18%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
2.63/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.51
+67% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ikorodu City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Heartland
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.10.2024 Heartland Heartland 1-1 HT 0-1 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ikorodu City
2-0
AWAY Heartland
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City beat Heartland 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ikorodu City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ikorodu City had 52% of the ball to Heartland's 48%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Heartland?

Ikorodu City 2-0 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 56%, draw 22%, Heartland 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ikorodu City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ikorodu City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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