Heartland 1-1 Ikorodu City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 17 Oct 2024

Heartland
1-1 HT 0-1
Ikorodu City
📅17/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Heartland vs Ikorodu City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heartland v Ikorodu City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heartland EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.67/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -52%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Heartland vs Ikorodu City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heartland and Ikorodu City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Heartland at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Heartland vs Ikorodu City?

Heartland 1-1 Ikorodu City in the Nigeria NPFL on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heartland vs Ikorodu City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heartland win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Heartland 54%, draw 27%, Ikorodu City 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Heartland), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heartland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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