Bendel Insurance 3-0 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 17 Oct 2024

📅17/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.6
No
69%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+2.1pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.4pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.1pp
31%
BTTS Yes
34%
-3.3pp
69%
BTTS No
66%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 20%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.64/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/1.47
-57% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bendel Insurance
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayelsa United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.01.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 2-0 HT 1-0 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bendel Insurance swept aside Bayelsa United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bendel Insurance as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (69%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Bayelsa United?

Bendel Insurance 3-0 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 58%, draw 21%, Bayelsa United 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bendel Insurance), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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