Katsina United 1-0 Akwa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 17 Oct 2024

Katsina United
1-0
Akwa United
📅17/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Katsina United vs Akwa United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.67
No
72%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.7pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.9pp
28%
BTTS Yes
33%
-5.7pp
72%
BTTS No
67%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Katsina United v Akwa United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Akwa United EU Bookmakers 15%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.98/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.28
+37% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +30%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Katsina United vs Akwa United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katsina United
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Akwa United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
12.06.2024 Akwa United Akwa United 3-1 HT 3-1 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
15.01.2022 Akwa United Akwa United 2-0 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
27.06.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 1-0 HT 1-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
07.02.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 3-0 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Akwa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katsina United nicked a narrow win over Akwa United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Katsina United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (72%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Akwa United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Katsina United and 2.00 for Akwa United.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Akwa United?

Katsina United 1-0 Akwa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Akwa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 56%, draw 23%, Akwa United 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katsina United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katsina United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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