Akwa United 3-1 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 12 Jun 2024

Akwa United
3-1 HT 3-1
Katsina United
📅12/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Akwa United vs Katsina United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Akwa United v Katsina United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akwa United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.80/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.50
-1% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Akwa United vs Katsina United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akwa United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Katsina United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
The Meetings
15.01.2022 Akwa United Akwa United 2-0 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
27.06.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 1-0 HT 1-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
07.02.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 3-0 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
POST-MATCH Akwa United vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akwa United got the better of Katsina United 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Akwa United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Akwa United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Akwa United and 0.33 for Katsina United.

What was the final score of Akwa United vs Katsina United?

Akwa United 3-1 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akwa United vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akwa United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Akwa United 58%, draw 25%, Katsina United 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akwa United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Akwa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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