Niger Tornadoes 3-2 Lobi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.39/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.73
-7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lobi Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.02.2022 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-1 HT 0-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niger Tornadoes
3-2
AWAY Lobi Stars
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Lobi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes edged past Lobi Stars 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Niger Tornadoes as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Niger Tornadoes had 55% of the ball to Lobi Stars's 45%, shots finished 8-17.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Lobi Stars?

Niger Tornadoes 3-2 Lobi Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Lobi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 59%, draw 21%, Lobi Stars 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niger Tornadoes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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