Kwara United 2-0 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.61
Draw
34%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.68
Over 2.5
34%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
58%
-15.5pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+10.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-10.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.3pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.50/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.49
-10% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kano Pillars
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.01.2022 Kwara United Kwara United 1-0 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
28.07.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 1-0 HT 1-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
17.03.2021 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 2-0 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United beat Kano Pillars 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kwara United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kwara United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kwara United and 0.67 for Kano Pillars.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Kano Pillars?

Kwara United 2-0 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 43%, draw 34%, Kano Pillars 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kwara United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kwara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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