Caldas vs Lusitania Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caldas v Lusitania — Team-Based Signals
Caldas vs Lusitania Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Caldas 2-1 Lusitania — Actual Match Statistics
Caldas squeezed past Lusitania 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Caldas had 55% of the ball to Lusitania's 45%, shots finished 16-9.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caldas had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Caldas and 0.50 for Lusitania.
What was the final score of Caldas vs Lusitania?
Caldas 2-1 Lusitania in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caldas vs Lusitania?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Caldas 44%, draw 25%, Lusitania 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.