Boavista 1-0 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.15
6+ Goals
6%
32.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.21 — our 40% vs market 37.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
8.38
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
6%
17.85
X/1
6%
9.07
X/2
17%
3.9
X/X
16%
3.96
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.38
2/X
7%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
189 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 83%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.8 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.80 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
280 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
04.02.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-2 HT 0-1 Boavista Boavista POR
14.08.2022 Boavista Boavista 2-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
01.02.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 1-1 Boavista Boavista POR
23.08.2021 Boavista Boavista 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
01.05.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-3 HT 1-1 Boavista Boavista POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
1-0
AWAY Santa Clara
0.64 xG 0.53
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
150 Passes 421
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boavista squeezed past Santa Clara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boavista had 31% of the ball to Santa Clara's 69%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.64 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Boavista and 1.50 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Santa Clara?

Boavista 1-0 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Boavista 25%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Clara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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