Farense 0-1 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

Farense
0-1 HT 0-0
AVS
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Farense vs AVS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.7
X/2
11%
6.48
X/X
12%
3.68
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
14%
5.34
2/X
9%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Farense v AVS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.42/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.33
-23% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
24.2 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Farense vs AVS Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AVS
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.47 xG 0.54
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
220 Passes 405
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.09.2024 AVS AVS 0-0 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR

Farense 0-1 AVS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense
0-1
AWAY AVS
1.07 xG 1.09
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
234 Passes 338
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AVS nicked a narrow win over Farense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day AVS made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Farense had 44% of the ball to AVS's 56%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.07 to 1.09.

What was the final score of Farense vs AVS?

Farense 0-1 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Farense 36%, draw 33%, AVS 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Farense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
2 Mar 2025
18:30 Moreirense vs Estrela Analysis →
18:30 Boavista vs Santa Clara Analysis →
23:30 Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga Analysis →