Santa Clara vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Clara v Boavista — Team-Based Signals
Santa Clara vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Boavista
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Santa Clara
POR
2-1
HT 1-1
Boavista
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Santa Clara
POR
3-3
HT 1-1
Boavista
POR
1-1
HT 1-1
Santa Clara
POR
Santa Clara 1-0 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Clara squeezed past Boavista 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Santa Clara had 57% of the ball to Boavista's 43%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.17 to 0.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Santa Clara's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boavista led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Clara and 1.83 for Boavista.
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Boavista?
Santa Clara 1-0 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Boavista?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 54%, draw 25%, Boavista 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.