Chayka 1-1 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.9pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.3pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.31/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.47
+14% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +134%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
1W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Ufa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
20.09.2024 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-1 HT 0-1 Chayka Chayka RUS1
25.09.2019 Chayka Chayka 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
1-1
AWAY FK Ufa
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chayka vs FK Ufa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chayka and FK Ufa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Chayka had 56% of the ball to FK Ufa's 44%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chayka and 0.50 for FK Ufa.

What was the final score of Chayka vs FK Ufa?

Chayka 1-1 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chayka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chayka 40%, draw 32%, FK Ufa 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chayka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chayka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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