FK Rodina Moskva 0-1 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.66/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.77
-3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Tyumen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 1-2 HT 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
30.04.2024 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 HT 1-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
18.09.2023 Tyumen Tyumen 2-2 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
0-1
AWAY Tyumen
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tyumen squeezed past FK Rodina Moskva 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was FK Rodina Moskva at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 66% of the ball to Tyumen's 34%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 1.33 for Tyumen.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Tyumen?

FK Rodina Moskva 0-1 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 51%, draw 26%, Tyumen 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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