Kızılyıldız 4-0 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.2pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.2pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.74/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.73
+53% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +42%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
27.2 Crosses 16.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
3W-0D-0L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.54 xG 0.84
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
500 Passes 210
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
49 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-3 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
03.04.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-0 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
28.10.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-2 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
4-0
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
3.71 xG 0.22
73% Ball Possession 27%
23 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 1
16 Corners 2
541 Passes 147
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
69 Box Touches 4
40 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız ran out comfortable winners over IMT Novi Beograd 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 73% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 27%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 3.71 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.67 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Kızılyıldız 4-0 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 66%, draw 20%, IMT Novi Beograd 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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