IMT Novi Beograd 1-3 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
16.01
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
63%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
4%
+11.4pp
22%
Draw
15%
+6.6pp
63%
Away Win
81%
-18.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.4pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 85%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.00/2.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.62
+139% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +7%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.3
9.0 Crosses 25.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.97 xG 2.21
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
222 Passes 522
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 48
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.04.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-0 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
28.10.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-2 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-3
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.58 xG 3.19
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 27
4 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 12
187 Passes 458
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 50
10 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız saw off IMT Novi Beograd 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 34% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 66%, shots finished 10-27, expected goals 0.58 to 3.19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 2.00 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Kızılyıldız?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-3 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 16%, draw 22%, Kızılyıldız 63%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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