Backa Topola 2-0 Jedinstvo Ub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-8.9pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.8pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.33/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.17
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +5%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
480 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
25.8 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
2-0
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub
1.84 xG 0.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
407 Passes 182
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Jedinstvo Ub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola got the better of Jedinstvo Ub 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Backa Topola had 64% of the ball to Jedinstvo Ub's 36%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.84 to 0.23.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Backa Topola 2-0 Jedinstvo Ub in the Serbia - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 63%, draw 19%, Jedinstvo Ub 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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