Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.18/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.32
+15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.1 Crosses 17.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
272 Passes 217
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 3-1 HT 3-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
17.09.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
18.02.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
19.08.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
01.04.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
21.10.2021 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.19 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
293 Passes 336
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac nicked a narrow win over Novi Pazar 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 48% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 52%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.19 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.33 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Novi Pazar?

Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 32%, draw 26%, Novi Pazar 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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