Vipers 1-0 Mbarara City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.16
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
19%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
3.59
No
57%
1.24
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
82%
-22.5pp
22%
Draw
13%
+9.2pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+13.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
24%
+19.2pp
57%
BTTS No
76%
-19.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 8%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.79/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.91
-20% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
415 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Mbarara City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2024 Mbarara City Mbarara City 1-3 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGA
05.04.2022 Vipers Vipers 2-0 HT 1-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
19.11.2021 Mbarara City Mbarara City 1-2 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
1-0
AWAY Mbarara City
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vipers vs Mbarara City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers nicked a narrow win over Mbarara City 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Vipers had 55% of the ball to Mbarara City's 45%, shots finished 22-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vipers had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vipers and 0.67 for Mbarara City.

What was the final score of Vipers vs Mbarara City?

Vipers 1-0 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs Mbarara City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Vipers 59%, draw 22%, Mbarara City 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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