UPDF 2-0 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UPDF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.98/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.11
+7% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UPDF
0W-2D-2L
AWAY SC Villa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 5-0 HT 3-0 UPDF UPDF UGA
11.05.2024 UPDF UPDF 0-2 HT 0-1 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
06.02.2022 UPDF UPDF 0-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
08.01.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 0-0 HT 0-0 UPDF UPDF UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UPDF
2-0
AWAY SC Villa
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UPDF vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UPDF got the better of SC Villa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 35% — and on the day UPDF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, UPDF had 40% of the ball to SC Villa's 60%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SC Villa led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for UPDF and 1.75 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of UPDF vs SC Villa?

UPDF 2-0 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UPDF vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a UPDF win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split UPDF 35%, draw 31%, SC Villa 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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