PAOK 2-0 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 2 Mar 2025

PAOK
2-0 HT 1-0
Asteras Tripolis
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 30% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.48
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
23.4
X/1
20%
3.55
X/2
8%
20.75
X/X
8%
6.79
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
6%
20.15
2/X
7%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-13.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PAOK v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.85/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.69
+8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +8%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
477 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 74%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
23.0 Crosses 13.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.02 xG 0.96
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
450 Passes 261
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-2 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
17.12.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-4 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
20.08.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
13.02.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
23.10.2022 PAOK PAOK 2-2 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
19.12.2021 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN

PAOK 2-0 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
2-0
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.95 xG 0.23
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
419 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK got the better of Asteras Tripolis 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, PAOK had 55% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 45%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.95 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for PAOK and 1.33 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?

PAOK 2-0 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split PAOK 59%, draw 21%, Asteras Tripolis 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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