AEK Atina 0-1 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.17
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
5.05
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.09
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.47
X/2
13%
5.57
X/X
13%
3.55
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.22
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
0.70/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.96
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
15.9 Crosses 16.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.17 xG 1.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
297 Passes 276
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 6-0 HT 3-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
24.11.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-1 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
15.05.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
31.03.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
07.01.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
17.09.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 1-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
0-1
AWAY Olympiakos
0.46 xG 0.71
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 0
229 Passes 232
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 14
6 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos squeezed past AEK Atina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Olympiakos found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, AEK Atina had 50% of the ball to Olympiakos's 50%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.46 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AEK Atina and 2.33 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Olympiakos?

AEK Atina 0-1 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 39%, draw 25%, Olympiakos 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AEK Atina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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