Olympiakos 4-1 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.84
X/2
13%
6.61
X/X
16%
4.21
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.93
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.07/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.86
+5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
20.3 Crosses 17.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
1W-2D-3L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 Passes 312
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
31.03.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
07.01.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
17.09.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 1-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
03.05.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
23.04.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
4-1
AWAY AEK Atina
3.79 xG 1.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
248 Passes 322
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos cruised past AEK Atina 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Olympiakos made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympiakos had 45% of the ball to AEK Atina's 55%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 3.79 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Olympiakos and 1.17 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs AEK Atina?

Olympiakos 4-1 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 39%, draw 28%, AEK Atina 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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