Panaitolikos 1-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
8.31
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
17.1
X/1
8%
9.67
X/2
20%
3.77
X/X
13%
4.55
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.26
2/X
8%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 59%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
0.84/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.69
+23% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +87%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
14.7 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.31 xG 2.05
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
204 Passes 526
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
16.09.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-5 HT 0-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
06.03.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
09.11.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
19.02.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
28.11.2021 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-2
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.83 xG 2.61
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
251 Passes 469
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos edged past Panaitolikos 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 38% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 62%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.83 to 2.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Panathinaikos's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Panaitolikos and 2.00 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Panathinaikos?

Panaitolikos 1-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 28%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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24 Nov 2024
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