Aguila 1-1 Cacahuatique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.04/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.64
+17% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cacahuatique
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
10.11.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-2 HT 1-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
08.09.2025 Aguila Aguila 0-3 HT 0-2 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
16.03.2025 Aguila Aguila 4-2 HT 2-1 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
20.01.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
04.11.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-1 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
02.09.2024 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila and Cacahuatique shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aguila and 1.17 for Cacahuatique.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Cacahuatique?

Aguila 1-1 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Cacahuatique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aguila 52%, draw 26%, Cacahuatique 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguila), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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