Aguila 4-2 Cacahuatique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.46/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.63
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +118%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Cacahuatique
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
20.01.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
04.11.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-1 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
02.09.2024 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila beat Cacahuatique 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguila and 0.33 for Cacahuatique.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Cacahuatique?

Aguila 4-2 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Cacahuatique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aguila 41%, draw 27%, Cacahuatique 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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