FAS 1-0 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2025

FAS
1-0 HT 1-0
Dragon
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

FAS vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.8pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.8pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FAS v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -8%
1.77/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.73
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

FAS vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dragon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
20.01.2025 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
02.10.2024 Dragon Dragon 1-0 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
01.08.2024 FAS FAS 2-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
14.04.2024 FAS FAS 0-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
12.02.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
04.12.2023 FAS FAS 0-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS nicked a narrow win over Dragon 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FAS as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dragon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FAS and 0.67 for Dragon.

What was the final score of FAS vs Dragon?

FAS 1-0 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FAS 48%, draw 33%, Dragon 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAS), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FAS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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