Dragon 0-1 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 20 Jan 2025

Dragon
0-1 HT 0-1
FAS
📅20/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.1pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.2pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
0.62/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.00
-46% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FAS
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2024 Dragon Dragon 1-0 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
01.08.2024 FAS FAS 2-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
14.04.2024 FAS FAS 0-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
12.02.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
04.12.2023 FAS FAS 0-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
30.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-1 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS edged past Dragon 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FAS as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dragon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dragon and 0.50 for FAS.

What was the final score of Dragon vs FAS?

Dragon 0-1 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated an FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dragon 26%, draw 33%, FAS 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAS), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FAS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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