Once Deportivo 1-2 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.15/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.58
-18% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Deportivo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
09.09.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
05.05.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-0 HT 2-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
18.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
23.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
21.08.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Once Deportivo vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco edged past Once Deportivo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Once Deportivo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fuerte San Francisco led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Once Deportivo and 0.83 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Once Deportivo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Once Deportivo 1-2 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Deportivo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Once Deportivo 43%, draw 27%, Fuerte San Francisco 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Once Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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