Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.0pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 40%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
0.76/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.19
-38% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-0 HT 2-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
18.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
23.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
21.08.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco squeezed past Once Deportivo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 35% / 34% — and on the day Fuerte San Francisco made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fuerte San Francisco had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 0.50 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Once Deportivo?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 31%, draw 35%, Once Deportivo 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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