Middlesbrough U21 1-4 Birmingham City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.32
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
71%
-4.4pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.2pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 16%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
6.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.66
+147% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
7.0 Crosses 14.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Birmingham City U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.02.2024 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 0-4 HT 0-3 Middlesbrough U21 Middlesbrough U21 İNPLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough U21
1-4
AWAY Birmingham City U21
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
352 Passes 181
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough U21 vs Birmingham City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham City U21 cruised past Middlesbrough U21 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Middlesbrough U21 at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Middlesbrough U21 had 62% of the ball to Birmingham City U21's 38%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Middlesbrough U21 1-4 Birmingham City U21 in the INGPL2 on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough U21 67%, draw 18%, Birmingham City U21 15%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Middlesbrough U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middlesbrough U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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