West Bromwich Albion U21 4-2 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
42%
-12.6pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.1pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich Albion U21 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.52/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.81/1.75
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.2 Crosses 10.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich Albion U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Derby County U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.54 xG 1.02
42% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
247 Passes 374
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 4-1 HT 3-1 West Bromwich Albion U21 West Bromwich Albion U21 INGPL2
12.02.2024 West Bromwich Albion U21 West Bromwich Albion U21 0-1 HT 0-1 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich Albion U21
4-2
AWAY Derby County U21
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
198 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Derby County U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich Albion U21 beat Derby County U21 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Derby County U21 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, West Bromwich Albion U21 had 45% of the ball to Derby County U21's 55%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Derby County U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for West Bromwich Albion U21 and 2.50 for Derby County U21.

What was the final score of West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Derby County U21?

West Bromwich Albion U21 4-2 Derby County U21 in the INGPL2 on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Derby County U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derby County U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich Albion U21 29%, draw 30%, Derby County U21 41%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Derby County U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derby County U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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