Derby County U21 4-1 West Bromwich Albion U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
2.96
Over 2.5
72%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.35
No
34%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.2pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.1pp
28%
Under 2.5
30%
-2.0pp
72%
Over 2.5
70%
+2.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
70%
-4.3pp
34%
BTTS No
30%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.02 xG 0.54
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
381 Passes 224
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
7 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.02.2024 West Bromwich Albion U21 West Bromwich Albion U21 0-1 HT 0-1 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County U21
4-1
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
366 Passes 270
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Derby County U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County U21 swept aside West Bromwich Albion U21 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (42% / 18% / 41%) promised a tight game; Derby County U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Derby County U21 had 56% of the ball to West Bromwich Albion U21's 44%, shots finished 20-6.

What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21?

Derby County U21 4-1 West Bromwich Albion U21 in the INGPL2 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derby County U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 42%, draw 18%, West Bromwich Albion U21 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derby County U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Derby County U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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