Chelsea U21 2-1 Arsenal U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
4.0
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.28
No
42%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
74%
-16.3pp
42%
BTTS No
26%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/3.00
-61% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
320 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses 14.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea U21
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Arsenal U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
2.13 xG 2.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
362 Passes 386
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Arsenal U21 Arsenal U21 2-3 HT 1-1 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 INGPL2-1
01.03.2024 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 2-4 HT 1-1 Arsenal U21 Arsenal U21 INGPL2-1
11.01.2022 Arsenal U21 Arsenal U21 4-1 HT 2-1 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
2-1
AWAY Arsenal U21
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
467 Passes 286
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Crosses 9
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Arsenal U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 edged past Arsenal U21 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea U21 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 59% of the ball to Arsenal U21's 41%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chelsea U21 and 3.33 for Arsenal U21.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Arsenal U21?

Chelsea U21 2-1 Arsenal U21 in the INGPL2 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Arsenal U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 48%, draw 22%, Arsenal U21 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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