Leicester City U21 3-1 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
58%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.46
Over 2.5
53%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.33
No
45%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.9pp
58%
Away Win
54%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
25%
+22.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
75%
-22.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
71%
-16.2pp
45%
BTTS No
29%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -75%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 27.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Aston Villa U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.67 xG 2.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
321 Passes 338
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.03.2024 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 2-2 HT 1-2 Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City U21
3-1
AWAY Aston Villa U21
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 27
7 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 11
254 Passes 413
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leicester City U21 vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City U21 got the better of Aston Villa U21 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aston Villa U21 at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Leicester City U21 had 39% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 61%, shots finished 12-27.

What was the final score of Leicester City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Leicester City U21 3-1 Aston Villa U21 in the INGPL2 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Leicester City U21 24%, draw 19%, Aston Villa U21 58%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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