Leeds United U21 1-3 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 1 Nov 2024

Leeds United U21
1-3 HT 1-2
Newcastle United U21
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
34%
3.64
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
13%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.3pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.2pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.8pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United U21 v Newcastle United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-49% / +145% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
372 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
8.0 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newcastle United U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.35 xG 1.37
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
294 Passes 423
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.04.2024 Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21 0-2 HT 0-0 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 INGPL2-1

Leeds United U21 1-3 Newcastle United U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United U21
1-3
AWAY Newcastle United U21
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
428 Passes 268
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United U21 got the better of Leeds United U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Newcastle United U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Leeds United U21 had 59% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 41%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Leeds United U21 1-3 Newcastle United U21 in the INGPL2 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Leeds United U21 31%, draw 34%, Newcastle United U21 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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