Aston Villa U21 2-2 Leicester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.35
No
43%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
70%
-13.0pp
43%
BTTS No
30%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
2-2
AWAY Leicester City U21
2.31 xG 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
338 Passes 321
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Leicester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa U21 and Leicester City U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa U21 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 52% of the ball to Leicester City U21's 48%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.31 to 1.67.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Aston Villa U21 2-2 Leicester City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Leicester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 53%, draw 21%, Leicester City U21 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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