Derby County U21 vs Stoke City U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derby County U21 v Stoke City U21 — Team-Based Signals
Derby County U21 1-2 Stoke City U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City U21 nicked a narrow win over Derby County U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Derby County U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Derby County U21 had 62% of the ball to Stoke City U21's 38%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.54 to 1.38.
What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Derby County U21 1-2 Stoke City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derby County U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 45%, draw 23%, Stoke City U21 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Derby County U21) went the other way.