Chelsea U21 2-3 Nottingham Forest U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
2.89
Over 2.5
71%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
29%
Under 2.5
31%
-2.2pp
71%
Over 2.5
69%
+2.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.0pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 20%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
2.98/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.45
+7% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 6.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
2-3
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
1.03 xG 1.41
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
482 Passes 251
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest U21 squeezed past Chelsea U21 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea U21 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 64% of the ball to Nottingham Forest U21's 36%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.03 to 1.41.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Chelsea U21 2-3 Nottingham Forest U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 54%, draw 22%, Nottingham Forest U21 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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