Leeds United U21 3-5 Fulham U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
29%
4.81
Away
50%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
3.14
Over 2.5
49%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+6.0pp
29%
Draw
18%
+11.3pp
50%
Away Win
67%
-17.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
28%
+22.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
72%
-22.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham U21 EU Bookmakers 71%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-68% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United U21
3-5
AWAY Fulham U21
0.47 xG 3.82
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 29
2 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 13
265 Passes 523
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
2 Crosses 33
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leeds United U21 vs Fulham U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham U21 beat Leeds United U21 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fulham U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leeds United U21 had 36% of the ball to Fulham U21's 64%, shots finished 4-29, expected goals 0.47 to 3.82.

What was the final score of Leeds United U21 vs Fulham U21?

Leeds United U21 3-5 Fulham U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United U21 vs Fulham U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Leeds United U21 21%, draw 29%, Fulham U21 50%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham U21), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fulham U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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