Southampton U21 4-0 Crystal Palace U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.94
Over 2.5
67%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.33
No
39%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-10.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
22%
+11.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
78%
-11.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
71%
-10.7pp
39%
BTTS No
29%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace U21 EU Bookmakers 25%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+127% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton U21
4-0
AWAY Crystal Palace U21
2.59 xG 0.35
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
646 Passes 206
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southampton U21 vs Crystal Palace U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 swept aside Crystal Palace U21 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Southampton U21 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Southampton U21 had 71% of the ball to Crystal Palace U21's 29%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.59 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Southampton U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Southampton U21 4-0 Crystal Palace U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Southampton U21 48%, draw 22%, Crystal Palace U21 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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