Lugano vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugano v Basel — Team-Based Signals
Lugano vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Basel
İSV
1-1
HT 1-0
Lugano
İSV
2-2
HT 2-0
Basel
İSV
1-0
HT 1-0
Basel
İSV
Lugano 2-0 Basel — Actual Match Statistics
Lugano beat Basel 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Lugano had 54% of the ball to Basel's 46%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.05 to 0.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lugano and 1.33 for Basel.
What was the final score of Lugano vs Basel?
Lugano 2-0 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugano vs Basel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lugano 43%, draw 26%, Basel 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.