Aalen 1-2 Hoffenheim II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalen EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim II EU Bookmakers 61%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.17/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.31
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalen
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hoffenheim II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 3-1 HT 0-0 Aalen Aalen ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Aalen Aalen 0-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalen Aalen ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Aalen Aalen 5-2 HT 4-1 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
12.06.2021 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 2-4 HT 1-2 Aalen Aalen ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Aalen Aalen 1-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalen
1-2
AWAY Hoffenheim II
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aalen vs Hoffenheim II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim II edged past Aalen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hoffenheim II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aalen had 44% of the ball to Hoffenheim II's 56%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalen had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aalen and 1.33 for Hoffenheim II.

What was the final score of Aalen vs Hoffenheim II?

Aalen 1-2 Hoffenheim II in the Germany - Regional League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalen vs Hoffenheim II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aalen 28%, draw 22%, Hoffenheim II 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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