Aubstadt 1-1 Würzburger Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
47%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-10.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 62%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.82/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.88
-39% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +54%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
33.0 Crosses 31.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Würzburger Kickers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 1-1 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 6-0 HT 2-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-3 HT 0-2 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Würzburger Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubstadt and Würzburger Kickers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Würzburger Kickers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Aubstadt and 3.33 for Würzburger Kickers.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Würzburger Kickers?

Aubstadt 1-1 Würzburger Kickers in the Germany - Regional League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Würzburger Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 29%, draw 24%, Würzburger Kickers 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Würzburger Kickers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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