Mainz 05 II 2-0 Bahlinger SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -25%
1.53/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.66
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bahlinger SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-2 HT 1-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 0-2 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
13.11.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 2-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
29.05.2021 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05 II
2-0
AWAY Bahlinger SC
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Bahlinger SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II beat Bahlinger SC 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Mainz 05 II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Mainz 05 II had 43% of the ball to Bahlinger SC's 57%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahlinger SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.17 for Bahlinger SC.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Bahlinger SC?

Mainz 05 II 2-0 Bahlinger SC in the Germany - Regional League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Bahlinger SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 35%, draw 30%, Bahlinger SC 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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