Vitesse 1-4 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 Apr 2024

Vitesse
1-4 HT 1-3
Sparta Rotterdam
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Vitesse vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
13%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.06
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
13%
6.04
X/2
9%
5.14
X/X
12%
4.97
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
29.0
2/2
22%
3.24
2/X
10%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.03/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.20
-35% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.3 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4

Vitesse vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 1.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
286 Passes 372
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
11.03.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 HT 2-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
05.11.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 0-4 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
19.04.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
18.12.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 HT 0-2 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
15.12.2021 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOK

Vitesse 1-4 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
1-4
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.93 xG 2.02
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
449 Passes 209
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
47 Box Touches 41
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam cruised past Vitesse 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sparta Rotterdam found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vitesse had 64% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 36%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.93 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitesse and 2.00 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Vitesse 1-4 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 37%, draw 26%, Sparta Rotterdam 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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