Excelsior 0-2 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 Apr 2024

Excelsior
0-2 HT 0-0
PSV Eindhoven
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
67%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.59
Over 2.5
69%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
9.22
2-3 Goals
32%
2.46
4-5 Goals
35%
2.34
6+ Goals
16%
3.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
21.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
19.7
1/X
6%
28.0
X/1
7%
31.5
X/2
15%
3.69
X/X
6%
13.05
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
40%
1.27
2/X
4%
30.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.7 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.4pp
16%
Draw
11%
+4.8pp
66%
Away Win
81%
-14.2pp
31%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.1pp
69%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 85%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.22/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/0.90
+9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -18%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 83%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.1
16.9 Crosses 20.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.59 xG 3.40
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
280 Passes 519
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
08.04.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
28.08.2022 Excelsior Excelsior 1-6 HT 0-3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
02.03.2019 Excelsior Excelsior 0-2 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
07.12.2018 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 6-0 HT 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
07.02.2018 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL

Excelsior 0-2 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
0-2
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.00 xG 1.61
30% Ball Possession 70%
0 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 12
219 Passes 638
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
2 Box Touches 47
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven beat Excelsior 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior had 30% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 70%, shots finished 0-21, expected goals 0.00 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Excelsior and 3.67 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

Excelsior 0-2 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 17%, draw 16%, PSV Eindhoven 66%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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